Breaking News
Popular News
guguball.com | Fantasy Football Strategy Systems
Fantasy Football Strategy Systems
Week 11 Analytics Hub V3
Share your love
Fantasy Football Week 11 Utilization Edges
A quick, no-nonsense look at this week’s most important utilization signals. Forget the box scores — these are the three usage-driven edges that give you a clear advantage in Week 11 lineups.
Speed Summary — Your 3-bullet cheat sheet
- WRs: Jameson Williams is a locked-in start. His targets are climbing and he’s a focal point of the offense—trust the gold signal.
- RBs: Aaron Jones has an elite 80 Utilization Score and a smash matchup. Start him with confidence as a top-tier RB2 with RB1 upside.
- TEs: Hunt for a post-hype sleeper. Insist on the trifecta: routes ≥65%, RZ looks ≥2, and AYPRR ≥0.9 before streaming.
Week 11 utilization edges
Edge 1 — Jameson Williams: The Breakout is Here
Why it matters: Forget the slow start. Williams is now a focal point of the Lions’ attack. His targets are up, and his big-play ability is finally being unlocked. This is the “buy” signal we’ve been waiting for.
Data pull: 35.5 fantasy points and 6.5 targets/game over the last two weeks; confirmed as offensive focal point in beat reports.
Confidence: High — The usage has finally caught up to the talent.
Base6-8 targets, 75%+ routes, 1-2 deep shots.
Optimistic8+ targets, 3+ deep shots, 100+ yards, and a score.
PessimisticUsage dips back below 5 targets, falls behind in target priority.
Do this by Friday 4 pm local:Start him as a WR3 with massive upside.
Edge 2 — Aaron Jones: Elite Usage Meets a Smash Spot
Why it matters: Jones is rocking an elite 80 Utilization Score and gets a dream matchup against the Bengals, who provide a +9.9 fantasy point boost to opposing RBs. This is the definition of a ceiling week.
Data pull: 80 Utilization Score (per historical modeling); Week 11 matchup vs. Bengals (+9.9 fantasy boost).
Confidence: High — This is a rare convergence of elite usage and a top-tier matchup.
Base15+ opportunities, 5+ targets, 80-100 total yards.
Optimistic20+ opportunities, finds the end zone, and finishes as a top-10 RB.
PessimisticGame script turns negative, limiting his touches, or a surprise backfield split emerges.
Do this by Friday 4 pm local:Lock him in as an RB2 who could easily win you the week.
Edge 3 — TE: Hunt for the Post-Hype Sleeper
Why it matters: Instead of chasing last week’s TE touchdown, we find next week’s by enforcing strict thresholds. This is how you beat the waiver wire frenzy.
Data pull: Player routes% and RZ looks from FantasyLife; AYPRR from FTN; Friday injury statuses from team reports.
Confidence: Low — Streaming is a high-variance play. Insist on the rules.
BaseFind a TE with routes ≥65%, but AYPRR is ~0.8. He’s a desperation start.
OptimisticYou find the trifecta: routes ≥65%, ≥2 RZ looks, AND an AYPRR ≥0.9. This is your high-upside streamer.
PessimisticNo one meets the thresholds. You pivot to your roster’s safest floor play or check Rankings for a low-end option.
Do this by Sunday AM:Run a screener for TEs meeting the trifecta. No hits? Don’t force it.
The “why” — a 2‑minute explainer
- Routes%: Your player can’t earn targets if they aren’t on the field. Green (≥65%) is interesting, Gold (≥70%) is where you find starters.
- Targets & RZ Looks: This is the “follow the money” metric. It shows who the coaches *want* to get the ball. ≥7 targets or ≥2 RZ looks is the signal.
- AYPRR: Air Yards Per Route Run. It’s your ceiling indicator. ≥0.9 is good, ≥1.0 is elite.
- RB Snap% + Pass‑down %: This is the PPR safety net. It tells you who gets the high-value receptions.
- Friday Checkpoints: Ignore midweek coach-speak. Friday practice reports (FP, LP, DNP) are the truth-tellers.
Quick note:
Prioritize players whose usage leads price and consensus; backtest with weekly deltas and adjust confidence bands.
Rule of two signals: Align at least two usage signals before acting (e.g., Routes% + RZ looks).
Quick rules
WRs: If a WR hits the Gold routes% threshold (≥70%) with red zone looks, start him over a “safer” WR3. If he’s LP on Friday, downgrade.
RBs: If an RB has a rising pass-down % and a solid snap share (≥55%), trust him as a FLEX. If his practice status downgrades, pivot.
Final tie‑breakers
Disclosure: Affiliate link; GuGuBall may earn a commission.
